Padres vs. Pirates Picks & Best Bets 6th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates will take on the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Tuesday at PNC Park, beginning at 6:40 p.m. ET.

We performed 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to pinpoint the best Padres vs. Pirates bets, player props and predictions.

Using these simulations, we predict that the Padres have a 62% chance of defeating the Pirates.

To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Padres vs. Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Padres vs. Pirates picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Padres vs. Pirates Game Information

• Game Date: Tuesday, August 6th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Location: PNC Park
• Run Line: Padres -1.5 / Pirates +1.5
• Moneyline: Padres -162 / Pirates +140
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-110/-105)

Padres -1.5 @ +100 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Padres have a 52% chance of covering the run line, while the Padres have a probability of 48%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at +100.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -110.
• Our analysis indicates a 52% chance of the 7.5-run total going over.

Padres vs. Pirates Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Diego Padres at -162 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Pittsburgh Pirates are available at +140 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 62% chance of prevailing.

Additionally, the Padres present the best betting value, with the odds of -162 available at DraftKings Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Padres vs. Pirates

Here are the top MLB player props for Tuesday's Padres vs. Pirates matchup.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Dylan Cease Over 1.5 Earned Runs (-115)

• Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Dylan Cease to record over 1.5 earned runs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 63.0%, giving us an edge of 9.5% the -115 odds offered by BetMGM.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Bailey Falter Over 3.5 Strikeouts (+160)

• Our best prop bet for the Pirates is on Bailey Falter to have over 3.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 45.4%, giving us an edge of 6.9% on the +160 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Padres vs. Pirates Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Padres vs. Pirates trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Jurickson Profar to Record an RBI

Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 11 appearances (64% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +195 (34% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Xander Bogaerts to Record an RBI

Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 10 games (50%). You can place a wager on him to record another one at odds of +165 (38%), also available at DraftKings.

Jared Triolo to Record an RBI

Jared Triolo has recorded at least one RBI in 3 of his last 10 appearances (30%). You can wager on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +320 (24%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Dylan Cease of the Padres to record over 1.5 earned runs, with an edge of 9.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Padres -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Padres vs. Pirates predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online MLB betting sites.