Padres vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets 19th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies will host the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Wednesday at Citizens Bank Park, starting at 1:05 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to highlight the best Padres vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Phillies have a 64% chance of defeating the Padres.

To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Padres vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Padres vs. Phillies picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Padres vs. Phillies Game Information

• Game Date: Wednesday, June 19th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:05 p.m. ET
• Location: Citizens Bank Park
• Run Line: Padres +1.5 / Phillies -1.5
• Moneyline: Padres +154 / Phillies -184
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-108/-110)

Padres +1.5 @ -128 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Padres have a 54% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 46%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -128.

Total Runs Under 8.5 @ -110 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -110.
• Our analysis suggests a slightly higher likelihood that the total will stay under 8.5 runs.

Padres vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Diego Padres at +154 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Philadelphia Phillies are available at -184 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 64% chance of prevailing.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Phillies also present the best betting value, with the odds of -184 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Padres vs. Phillies

Here are the top MLB player props for Wednesday's Padres vs. Phillies game.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Matt Waldron Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-140)

• Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Matt Waldron to record under 4.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 84.5%, providing an edge of 26.1% on the -140 odds offered by BetMGM.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - David Dahl To Get a Hit (-175)

• Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on David Dahl to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 76.0%, giving us an edge of 12.4% on the -175 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Padres vs. Phillies Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Padres vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Jurickson Profar to Record an RBI

Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 10 games (50% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +215 (32% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Fernando Tatis Jr. to Record a Hit

Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one hit in 19 of his last 23 appearances (83%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -245 (71%), also available at DraftKings.

Kyle Higashioka to Record an RBI

Kyle Higashioka has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 12 games (42%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +200 (33%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Matt Waldron of the Padres to record under 4.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 26.1% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Padres +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Padres vs. Phillies predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the leading online MLB betting sites.