Padres vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets 18th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies will go up against the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Tuesday at Citizens Bank Park, starting at 6:40 p.m. ET.

We run 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to highlight the best Padres vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Phillies have a 58% chance of defeating the Padres.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Padres vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Padres vs. Phillies picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Padres vs. Phillies Game Information

• Game Date: Tuesday, June 18th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Citizens Bank Park
• Run Line: Padres +1.5 / Phillies -1.5
• Moneyline: Padres +140 / Phillies -160
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-115/+100)

Padres +1.5 @ -142 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Padres have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 41%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -142 for the Padres +1.5, presenting a favorable 0.8% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 8.5 @ +100 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at +100.
• Our analysis shows a 48% probability that the total will stay under 8.5 runs, which presents greater value compared to betting on the over.

Padres vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Diego Padres at +140 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Philadelphia Phillies are available at -160 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 58% chance of coming out on top.

Even though the Phillies are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +140 odds on the Padres moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Padres vs. Phillies

Here are the top MLB player props for Tuesday's Padres vs. Phillies matchup.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Michael King Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115)

• Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Michael King to record under 5.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 76.4%, providing an edge of 29.9% the +115 odds offered by DraftKings.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Cristian Pache To Get a Hit (+100)

• Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on Cristian Pache to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 70.5%, giving us an edge of 20.5% on the +100 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Padres vs. Phillies Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Padres vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Ha-Seong Kim to Record an RBI

Ha-Seong Kim has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 appearances (40% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +255 (28% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

David Dahl to Record an RBI

David Dahl has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 11 appearances (36%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +230 (30%), also available at DraftKings.

Jurickson Profar to Record an RBI

Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 games (40%). You can wager on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +205 (33%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Michael King of the Padres to record under 5.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 29.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Padres +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Padres vs. Phillies predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.