Padres vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets 17th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies will meet the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Monday at Citizens Bank Park, beginning at 6:40 p.m. ET.
We have performed 10,000 simulations of Monday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to pinpoint the best Padres vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Phillies have a 64% chance of beating the Padres.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Padres vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Padres vs. Phillies picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Padres vs. Phillies Game Information
- Game Date: Monday, June 17th, 2024
- Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Location: Citizens Bank Park
- Run Line: Padres +1.5 / Phillies -1.5
- Moneyline: Padres +160 / Phillies -190
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 9.5 Runs (-104/-115)
Padres +1.5 @ -115 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Padres have a 53% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 47%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -115.
Total Runs Under 9.5 @ -115 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -115.
- Our analysis shows a 56% chance that the total will stay under 9.5 runs, providing an edge of 2.8%.
Padres vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds
| San Diego Padres | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|
| +160 via DraftKings Sportsbook | -190 via BetMGM |
The Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 64% chance of prevailing.
Although the Phillies are favored to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +160 odds on the Padres moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Padres vs. Phillies
Here are the best MLB player props for Monday's Padres vs. Phillies game.
San Diego Padres Prediction - Randy Vasquez Under 3.5 Earned Runs (-140)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Vasquez Under 3.5 Earned Runs | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -140 |
- Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Randy Vasquez to record under 3.5 earned runs.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 85.0%, providing an edge of 26.7% the -140 odds offered by DraftKings.
Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Cristopher Sanchez Under 16.5 Outs (-115)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sanchez Under 16.5 Outs | BetMGM | Get Offer | -115 |
- Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on Cristopher Sanchez to have under 16.5 outs.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 61.7%, giving us an edge of 8.2% on the -115 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Padres vs. Phillies Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Padres vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Luis Arraez to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Arraez to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +235 |
Luis Arraez has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 23 appearances (30% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +235 (30% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Fernando Tatis Jr. to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +170 |
Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in 11 of his last 24 games (46%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +170 (37%), also available at DraftKings.
Edmundo Sosa to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edmundo Sosa to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +170 |
Edmundo Sosa has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 12 games (42%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +160 (38%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Randy Vasquez of the Padres to record under 3.5 earned runs, with an edge of 26.7% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Padres +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Padres vs. Phillies predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online MLB betting sites.
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