Padres vs. Orioles Picks & Best Bets 28th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Baltimore Orioles will host the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Sunday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, beginning at 1:35 p.m. ET.

We conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to identify the best Padres vs. Orioles bets, player props and predictions.

Using these simulations, we predict that the Orioles have a 55% chance of beating the Padres.

To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Padres vs. Orioles Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Padres vs. Orioles picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Padres vs. Orioles Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, July 28th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
• Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
• Run Line: Padres +1.5 / Orioles -1.5
• Moneyline: Padres +120 / Orioles -138
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-115/-104)

Padres +1.5 @ -160 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Padres have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Orioles have a probability of 40%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -160.

Total Runs Over 9 @ -115 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -115.
• Our analysis suggests a 55% probability of the 9-run total going over, providing an edge of 1%.

Padres vs. Orioles Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Diego Padres at +120 via BetMGM, whilst the Baltimore Orioles are available at -138 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Orioles are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 55% chance of victory.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Orioles also present the best betting value, with the odds of -138 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Padres vs. Orioles

Here are the top MLB player props for Sunday's Padres vs. Orioles game.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Randy Vasquez Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+120)

• Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Randy Vasquez to record over 1.5 walks allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 54.5%, giving us an edge of 9.0% over the +120 odds offered by DraftKings.

Baltimore Orioles Prediction - James McCann To Get a Hit (-160)

• Our best prop bet for the Orioles is on James McCann to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 74.7%, providing an edge of 13.2% on the -160 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Padres vs. Orioles Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Padres vs. Orioles trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Anthony Santander to Record an RBI

Anthony Santander has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 10 games (60% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +150 (40% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Anthony Santander to Record a Hit

Anthony Santander has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his last 14 games (93%). You can place a bet on him to get another one at odds of -245 (71%), also available at DraftKings.

Luis Arraez to Record an RBI

Luis Arraez has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 appearances (40%). You can wager on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +215 (32%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing James McCann of the Orioles to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Padres +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Padres vs. Orioles predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.