Padres vs. Orioles Picks & Best Bets 26th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Baltimore Orioles will go up against the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Friday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, starting at 7:05 p.m. ET.

We run 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to highlight the best Padres vs. Orioles bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Orioles have a 63% chance of defeating the Padres.

To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Padres vs. Orioles Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Padres vs. Orioles picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Padres vs. Orioles Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, July 26th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
• Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
• Run Line: Padres +1.5 / Orioles -1.5
• Moneyline: Padres +166 / Orioles -198
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-104/-115)

Padres +1.5 @ -120 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Padres have a 55% chance of covering the run line, while the Orioles have a probability of 45%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -120 for the Padres +1.5, providing a favorable 0.9% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 9 @ -104 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -104.
• Our analysis suggests a slightly higher probability that the total will go over 9 runs.

Padres vs. Orioles Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Diego Padres at +166 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Baltimore Orioles are available at -198 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Orioles are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 63% chance of victory.

Even though the Orioles are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +166 odds on the Padres moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Padres vs. Orioles

Here are the top MLB player props for Friday's Padres vs. Orioles matchup.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Jackson Merrill To Get an RBI (+205)

• Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Jackson Merrill to hit an RBI.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 36.9%, providing an edge of 4.1% over the +205 odds offered by DraftKings.

Baltimore Orioles Prediction - Colton Cowser To Get a Hit (-160)

• Our best prop bet for the Orioles is on Colton Cowser to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 64.5%, providing an edge of 2.9% on the -160 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Padres vs. Orioles Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Padres vs. Orioles trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Kyle Higashioka to Record an RBI

Kyle Higashioka has recorded at least one RBI in 9 of his last 19 games (47% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +265 (27% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Luis Arraez to Record an RBI

Luis Arraez has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 appearances (40%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +240 (29%), also available at DraftKings.

Colton Cowser to Record an RBI

Colton Cowser has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 games (40%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +200 (33%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jackson Merrill of the Padres to get an RBI as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Padres +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Padres vs. Orioles predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.