Padres vs. Nationals Picks & Best Bets 25th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Washington Nationals will take on the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Thursday at Nationals Park, starting at 12:05 p.m. ET.

We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to determine the best Padres vs. Nationals bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Padres have a 59% chance of beating the Nationals.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Padres vs. Nationals Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Padres vs. Nationals picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Padres vs. Nationals Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, July 25th, 2024
• Game Time: 12:05 p.m. ET
• Location: Nationals Park
• Run Line: Padres -1.5 / Nationals +1.5
• Moneyline: Padres -158 / Nationals +140
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (+100/-115)

Nationals +1.5 @ -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Nationals have a 54% chance of covering the run line, while the Padres have a probability of 46%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -112 for the Nationals +1.5, presenting a favorable 1.2% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 9 @ -115 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -115.
• Our analysis indicates a 55% chance of the 9-run total staying under, providing an edge of 1.5%.

Padres vs. Nationals Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Diego Padres at -158 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Washington Nationals are available at +140 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 59% chance of victory.

Even though the Padres are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +140 odds on the Nationals moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Padres vs. Nationals

Here are the best MLB player props for Thursday's Padres vs. Nationals game.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Dylan Cease Under 17.5 Outs Recorded (+130)

• Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Dylan Cease to record under 17.5 outs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 53.1%, giving us an edge of 9.6% the +130 odds offered by BetMGM.

Washington Nationals Prediction - Patrick Corbin Under 2.5 Earned Runs (+120)

• Our best prop bet for the Nationals is on Patrick Corbin to have under 2.5 earned runs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 56.8%, providing an edge of 11.4% on the +120 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Padres vs. Nationals Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Padres vs. Nationals trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Keibert Ruiz to Record an RBI

Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 16 appearances (44% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +225 (31% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Ildemaro Vargas to Record an RBI

Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 13 games (38%). You can place a wager on him to record another one at odds of +280 (26%), also available at DraftKings.

Luis Arraez to Record an RBI

Luis Arraez has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 games (40%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +195 (34%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Patrick Corbin of the Nationals to record under 2.5 earned runs, with an edge of 11.4% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Nationals +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Padres vs. Nationals predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.