Padres vs. Nationals Picks & Best Bets 24th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Washington Nationals will face the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Wednesday at Nationals Park, starting at 6:45 p.m. ET.
We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to highlight the best Padres vs. Nationals bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Nationals have a 53% chance of defeating the Padres.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Padres vs. Nationals Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Padres vs. Nationals picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Padres vs. Nationals Game Information
- Game Date: Wednesday, July 24th, 2024
- Game Time: 6:45 p.m. ET
- Location: Nationals Park
- Run Line: Padres -1.5 / Nationals +1.5
- Moneyline: Padres -110 / Nationals -106
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-114/+100)
Nationals +1.5 @ -175 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Nationals have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the Padres have a probability of 35%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -175 for the Nationals +1.5, presenting a favorable 1% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -114 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -114.
- Our analysis suggests a 53% chance that the total will go over 8.5 runs.
Padres vs. Nationals Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Diego Padres at -110 via BetMGM, whilst the Washington Nationals are available at -106 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Nationals are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 53% chance of prevailing.
Additionally, the Nationals present the best betting value, with the odds of -106 available at FanDuel Sportsbook, presenting an edge of 0%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Padres vs. Nationals
Here are the top MLB player props for Wednesday's Padres vs. Nationals game.
San Diego Padres Prediction - Matt Waldron Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+110)
- Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Matt Waldron to record over 1.5 walks allowed.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 59.9%, giving us an edge of 12.3% over the +110 odds offered by DraftKings.
Washington Nationals Prediction - Mitchell Parker Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-120)
- Our best prop bet for the Nationals is on Mitchell Parker to have under 5.5 hits allowed.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 62.9%, giving us an edge of 8.3% on the -120 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Padres vs. Nationals Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Padres vs. Nationals trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Luis Arraez to Record an RBI
Luis Arraez has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 13 appearances (31% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +255 (28% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Matt Waldron of the Padres to record over 1.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 12.3% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Nationals +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Padres vs. Nationals predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets tonight and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.