Padres vs. Mets Picks & Best Bets 16th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The New York Mets will host the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Sunday at Citi Field, beginning at 1:40 p.m. ET.
We performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to identify the best Padres vs. Mets bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Padres have a 53% chance of beating the Mets.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Padres vs. Mets Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Padres vs. Mets picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Padres vs. Mets Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, June 16th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:40 p.m. ET
- Location: Citi Field
- Run Line: Padres -1.5 / Mets +1.5
- Moneyline: Padres -130 / Mets +114
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 7 Runs (-118/+100)
Mets +1.5 @ -155 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Mets have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Padres have a probability of 40%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -155.
Total Runs Over 7 @ -118 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -118.
- Our analysis shows a 54% chance that the total will go over 7 runs.
Padres vs. Mets Moneyline Odds
| San Diego Padres | New York Mets |
|---|---|
| -130 via BetMGM | +114 via DraftKings Sportsbook |
The Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 53% chance of coming out on top.
Although the Padres are favored to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +114 odds on the Mets moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Padres vs. Mets
Here are the top MLB player props for Sunday's Padres vs. Mets matchup.
San Diego Padres Prediction - Dylan Cease Under 18.5 Outs Recorded (-190)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease Under 18.5 Outs | BetMGM | Get Offer | -190 |
- Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Dylan Cease to record under 18.5 outs.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 79.6%, providing an edge of 14.1% on the -190 odds offered by BetMGM.
New York Mets Prediction - Tylor Megill Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-165)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tylor Megill Under 5.5 Hits Allowed | BetMGM | Get Offer | -165 |
- Our best prop bet for the Mets is on Tylor Megill to have under 5.5 hits allowed.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 82.7%, giving us an edge of 20.4% on the -165 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Padres vs. Mets Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Padres vs. Mets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Harrison Bader to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bader to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +340 |
Harrison Bader has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 games (40% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +340 (23% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Starling Marte to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +265 |
Starling Marte has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 appearances (40%). You can place a wager on him to record another one at odds of +265 (27%), also available at DraftKings.
Harrison Bader to Record a Hit
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bader to Record a Hit | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -265 |
Harrison Bader has recorded at least one hit in 7 of his last 12 appearances (58%). You can wager on him to record at least one hit again at odds of -120 (55%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Tylor Megill of the Mets to record under 5.5 hits allowed, with an edge of 20.4% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Mets +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Padres vs. Mets predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.
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