Padres vs. Marlins Picks & Best Bets 9th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Miami Marlins will host the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Friday at loanDepot park, beginning at 7:10 p.m. ET.

We conducted 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to reveal the best Padres vs. Marlins bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Padres have a 55% chance of beating the Marlins.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Padres vs. Marlins Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Padres vs. Marlins picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Padres vs. Marlins Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, August 9th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: loanDepot park
• Run Line: Padres -1.5 / Marlins +1.5
• Moneyline: Padres -132 / Marlins +115
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-118/-102)

Marlins +1.5 @ -146 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Marlins have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the Padres have a probability of 41%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -146.

Total Runs Under 8 @ -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -102.
• Our analysis indicates a slightly higher probability that the total will stay under 8 runs, which presents greater value compared to betting on the over.

Padres vs. Marlins Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Diego Padres at -132 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Miami Marlins are available at +115 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 55% chance of victory.

Although the Padres are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +115 odds on the Marlins moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Padres vs. Marlins

Here are the best MLB player props for Friday's Padres vs. Marlins matchup.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Jackson Merrill To Get a Hit (-225)

• Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Jackson Merrill to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 81.6%, giving us an edge of 12.4% the -225 odds offered by DraftKings.

Miami Marlins Prediction - Edward Cabrera Under 15.5 Outs (-130)

• Our best prop bet for the Marlins is on Edward Cabrera to have under 15.5 outs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 64.3%, giving us an edge of 7.8% on the -130 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Padres vs. Marlins Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Padres vs. Marlins trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Jackson Merrill to Record a Hit

Jackson Merrill has recorded at least one hit in 9 of his last 11 appearances (82% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of -225 (69% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jackson Merrill of the Padres to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Padres vs. Marlins predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.