Padres vs. Marlins Picks & Best Bets 11th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Miami Marlins will go up against the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Sunday at loanDepot park, beginning at 1:40 p.m. ET.

We have performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to determine the best Padres vs. Marlins bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Padres have a 66% chance of defeating the Marlins.

To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Padres vs. Marlins Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Padres vs. Marlins picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Padres vs. Marlins Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, August 11th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:40 p.m. ET
• Location: loanDepot park
• Run Line: Padres -1.5 / Marlins +1.5
• Moneyline: Padres -198 / Marlins +170
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-105/-112)

Marlins +1.5 @ +105 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Marlins have a 52% chance of covering the run line, while the Marlins have a probability of 48%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at +105.

Total Runs Under 7.5 @ -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -112.
• Our analysis shows a 51% probability of the 7.5-run total staying under.

Padres vs. Marlins Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Diego Padres at -198 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Miami Marlins are available at +170 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 66% chance of victory.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Padres also present the best betting value, with the odds of -198 available at DraftKings Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Padres vs. Marlins

Here are the top MLB player props for Sunday's Padres vs. Marlins game.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Dylan Cease Over 1.5 Earned Runs (-105)

• Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Dylan Cease to record over 1.5 earned runs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 65.2%, giving us an edge of 14.0% the -105 odds offered by BetMGM.

Miami Marlins Prediction - Max Meyer Under 15.5 Outs (-110)

• Our best prop bet for the Marlins is on Max Meyer to have under 15.5 outs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 66.3%, giving us an edge of 13.9% on the -110 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Padres vs. Marlins Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Padres vs. Marlins trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Luis Campusano to Hit a Home Run

Luis Campusano has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 14 appearances (21% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +1000 (9% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Xavier Edwards to Hit a Home Run

Xavier Edwards has hit at least one home run in 1 of his last 13 appearances (8%). You can place a wager on him to hit another one at odds of +1700 (6%), also available at DraftKings.

Vidal Bruján to Hit a Home Run

Vidal Bruján has hit at least one home run in 1 of his last 10 appearances (10%). You can bet on him to homer again at odds of +1600 (6%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Dylan Cease of the Padres to record over 1.5 earned runs, with an edge of 14% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Padres vs. Marlins predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets tonight and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.