Padres vs. Marlins Picks & Best Bets 10th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Miami Marlins will host the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Saturday at loanDepot park, beginning at 4:10 p.m. ET.
We conducted 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to reveal the best Padres vs. Marlins bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Padres have a 65% chance of beating the Marlins.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Padres vs. Marlins Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Padres vs. Marlins picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Padres vs. Marlins Game Information
- Game Date: Saturday, August 10th, 2024
- Game Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
- Location: loanDepot park
- Run Line: Padres -1.5 / Marlins +1.5
- Moneyline: Padres -190 / Marlins +166
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-120/+100)
Marlins +1.5 @ +102 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Marlins have a 52% chance of covering the run line, while the Marlins have a probability of 48%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at +102.
Total Runs Under 8.5 @ +100 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at +100.
- Our analysis indicates a 49% chance of the 8.5-run total staying under, which presents better value compared to betting on the over.
Padres vs. Marlins Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Diego Padres at -190 via BetMGM, whilst the Miami Marlins are available at +166 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 65% chance of prevailing.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Padres also present the best betting value, with the odds of -190 available at BetMGM making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Padres vs. Marlins
Here are the top MLB player props for Saturday's Padres vs. Marlins matchup.
San Diego Padres Prediction - Matt Waldron Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+115)
- Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Matt Waldron to record over 1.5 walks allowed.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 60.4%, providing an edge of 13.9% on the +115 odds offered by DraftKings.
Miami Marlins Prediction - Roddery Munoz Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-160)
- Our best prop bet for the Marlins is on Roddery Munoz to have under 5.5 hits allowed.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 72.9%, giving us an edge of 11.4% on the -160 odds available at DraftKings.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Padres vs. Marlins Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Padres vs. Marlins trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Jonah Bride to Hit a Home Run
Jonah Bride has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 10 appearances (40% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +1100 (8% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Manny Machado to Record a Hit
Manny Machado has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 11 games (91%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -270 (73%), also available at DraftKings.
David Peralta to Hit a Home Run
David Peralta has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 13 games (23%). You can bet on him to homer again at odds of +950 (10%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Matt Waldron of the Padres to record over 1.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 13.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Padres vs. Marlins predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.