Padres vs. Guardians Picks & Best Bets 21st Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Cleveland Guardians will take on the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Sunday at Progressive Field, starting at 1:40 p.m. ET.
We run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to determine the best Padres vs. Guardians bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Padres have a 51% chance of defeating the Guardians.
To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Padres vs. Guardians Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Padres vs. Guardians picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Padres vs. Guardians Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, July 21st, 2024
- Game Time: 1:40 p.m. ET
- Location: Progressive Field
- Run Line: Padres -1.5 / Guardians +1.5
- Moneyline: Padres +100 / Guardians -108
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-112/-104)
Padres -1.5 @ +154 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Padres have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the Padres have a probability of 38%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at +154.
Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -112.
- Our analysis suggests a 59% chance that the total will go over 7.5 runs, providing an edge of 6.5%.
Padres vs. Guardians Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Diego Padres at +100 via BetMGM, whilst the Cleveland Guardians are available at -108 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 51% chance of coming out on top.
Additionally, the Padres present the best betting value, with the odds of +100 available at BetMGM for an edge of 0.7%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Padres vs. Guardians
Here are the best MLB player props for Sunday's Padres vs. Guardians matchup.
San Diego Padres Prediction - Kyle Higashioka To Get a HR (+650)
- Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Kyle Higashioka to hit a home run.
- Our analysis projects him to have a probability of 16.9% of going yard, providing an edge of 3.5% the +650 odds offered by BetMGM.
Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Ben Lively Over 2.5 Earned Runs (-110)
- Our best prop bet for the Guardians is on Ben Lively to have over 2.5 earned runs.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 62.9%, providing an edge of 10.5% on the -110 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Padres vs. Guardians Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Padres vs. Guardians trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Kyle Higashioka to Record an RBI
Kyle Higashioka has recorded at least one RBI in 11 of his last 25 appearances (44% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +225 (31% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Daniel Schneemann to Record an RBI
Daniel Schneemann has recorded at least one RBI in 10 of his last 25 appearances (40%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +220 (31%), also available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Ben Lively of the Guardians to record over 2.5 earned runs, with an edge of 10.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Padres -1.5 to cover.
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