Padres vs. Guardians Picks & Best Bets 20th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cleveland Guardians will host the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Saturday at Progressive Field, beginning at 7:10 p.m. ET.
We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to pinpoint the best Padres vs. Guardians bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that this game could go down to the wire, with both the Padres and Guardians having a 50% chance of winning.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Padres vs. Guardians Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Padres vs. Guardians picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Padres vs. Guardians Game Information
- Game Date: Saturday, July 20th, 2024
- Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Location: Progressive Field
- Run Line: Padres -1.5 / Guardians +1.5
- Moneyline: Padres -102 / Guardians -110
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-118/-104)
Padres -1.5 @ +164 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Padres have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the Padres have a probability of 38%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at +164.
Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -118 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -118.
- Our analysis indicates a 55% chance that the total will go over 7.5 runs, providing an edge of 1%.
Padres vs. Guardians Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Diego Padres at -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Cleveland Guardians are available at -110 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 50% chance of prevailing.
With both teams projected to have a 50% chance of winning, it's the moneyline odds for the Padres that present the best value. DraftKings Sportsbook's -102 odds make this our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Padres vs. Guardians
Here are the top MLB player props for Saturday's Padres vs. Guardians game.
San Diego Padres Prediction - Kyle Higashioka To Get a HR (+800)
- Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Kyle Higashioka to hit a home run.
- Our analysis projects him to have a probability of 17.0% of going yard, giving us an edge of 5.8% over the +800 odds offered by BetMGM.
Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Gavin Williams Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-130)
- Our best prop bet for the Guardians is on Gavin Williams to have over 3.5 strikeouts.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 69.7%, giving us an edge of 13.2% on the -130 odds available at FanDuel.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Padres vs. Guardians Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Padres vs. Guardians trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Tyler Freeman to Record an RBI
Tyler Freeman has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 13 appearances (31% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +270 (27% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Gavin Williams of the Guardians to record over 3.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 13.2% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Padres -1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Padres vs. Guardians predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.