Padres vs. Guardians Picks & Best Bets 19th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cleveland Guardians will take on the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Friday at Progressive Field, beginning at 7:10 p.m. ET.

We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to reveal the best Padres vs. Guardians bets, player props and predictions.

Using these simulations, we predict that the Guardians have a 59% chance of beating the Padres.

To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Padres vs. Guardians Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Padres vs. Guardians picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Padres vs. Guardians Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, July 19th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Progressive Field
• Run Line: Padres +1.5 / Guardians -1.5
• Moneyline: Padres +140 / Guardians -160
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-110/+100)

Padres +1.5 @ -155 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Padres have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the Guardians have a probability of 41%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -155.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -110 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -110.
• Our analysis shows a 57% likelihood of the 7.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 4.5%.

Padres vs. Guardians Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Diego Padres at +140 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Cleveland Guardians are available at -160 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Guardians are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 59% chance of victory.

Although the Guardians are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +140 odds on the Padres moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Padres vs. Guardians

Here are the best MLB player props for Friday's Padres vs. Guardians matchup.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Kyle Higashioka To Get an RBI (+290)

• Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Kyle Higashioka to hit an RBI.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 34.0%, providing an edge of 8.3% the +290 odds offered by BetMGM.

Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Tanner Bibee Over 5.5 Hits Allowed (+115)

• Our best prop bet for the Guardians is on Tanner Bibee to have over 5.5 hits allowed.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 57.1%, giving us an edge of 10.6% on the +115 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Padres vs. Guardians Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Padres vs. Guardians trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Kyle Higashioka to Record a Hit

Kyle Higashioka has recorded at least one hit in 9 of his last 13 games (69% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of -105 (51% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Tanner Bibee of the Guardians to record over 5.5 hits allowed, with an edge of 10.6% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Padres +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Padres vs. Guardians predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.