Padres vs. Dodgers Picks & Best Bets 5th Oct 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Los Angeles Dodgers will take on the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Saturday at Dodger Stadium, beginning at 8:38 p.m. ET.

We run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to reveal the best Padres vs. Dodgers bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Dodgers have a 55% chance of defeating the Padres.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Padres vs. Dodgers Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Padres vs. Dodgers picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Padres vs. Dodgers Game Information

• Game Date: Saturday, October 5th, 2024
• Game Time: 8:38 p.m. ET
• Location: Dodger Stadium
• Run Line: Padres +1.5 / Dodgers -1.5
• Moneyline: Padres +120 / Dodgers -138
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-102/-115)

Padres +1.5 @ -176 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Padres have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the Dodgers have a probability of 36%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -176 for the Padres +1.5, presenting a favorable 0.4% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 8 @ -115 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at -115.
• Our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood that the total will stay under 8 runs.

Padres vs. Dodgers Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Diego Padres at +120 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Los Angeles Dodgers are available at -138 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Dodgers are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 55% chance of coming out on top.

Even though the Dodgers are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +120 odds on the Padres moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+170)

• Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Yoshinobu Yamamoto to record over 1.5 walks allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 50.0%, giving us an edge of 13.0% on the +170 odds offered by DraftKings.

Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction - Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+170)

• Our best prop bet for the Dodgers is on Yoshinobu Yamamoto to have over 1.5 walks allowed.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 50.0%, giving us an edge of 13.0% on the +170 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Padres vs. Dodgers Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Padres vs. Dodgers trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Manny Machado to Record an RBI

Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in 13 of his last 24 games (54% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +175 (36% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Miguel Rojas to Record a Hit

Miguel Rojas has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 25 appearances (68%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -135 (57%), also available at DraftKings.

Max Muncy to Hit a Home Run

Max Muncy has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 18 games (22%). You can wager on him to homer again at odds of +350 (22%), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Yoshinobu Yamamoto of the Padres to record over 1.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 13% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Padres +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Padres vs. Dodgers predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.