Padres vs. Dodgers Picks & Best Bets 11th Oct 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Los Angeles Dodgers will face the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Friday at Dodger Stadium, starting at 8:08 p.m. ET.

We run 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to determine the best Padres vs. Dodgers bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Dodgers have a 58% chance of beating the Padres.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Padres vs. Dodgers Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Padres vs. Dodgers picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Padres vs. Dodgers Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, October 11th, 2024
• Game Time: 8:08 p.m. ET
• Location: Dodger Stadium
• Run Line: Padres +1.5 / Dodgers -1.5
• Moneyline: Padres +130 / Dodgers -145
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-105/-110)

Dodgers -1.5 @ +150 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Dodgers have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Dodgers have a probability of 40%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at +150.

Total Runs Over 8 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -105.
• Our analysis suggests a 51% chance that the total will go over 8 runs, providing an edge of 0.2%.

Padres vs. Dodgers Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Diego Padres at +130 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Los Angeles Dodgers are available at -145 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Dodgers are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 58% chance of victory.

Even though the Dodgers are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +130 odds on the Padres moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 4.5 Hits Allowed (+130)

• Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Yoshinobu Yamamoto to record over 4.5 hits allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 56.3%, providing an edge of 12.8% on the +130 odds offered by BetMGM.

Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction - Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 4.5 Hits Allowed (+130)

• Our best prop bet for the Dodgers is on Yoshinobu Yamamoto to have over 4.5 hits allowed.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 56.3%, providing an edge of 12.8% on the +130 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Padres vs. Dodgers Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Padres vs. Dodgers trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. to Record an RBI

Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in 12 of his last 22 games (55% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +155 (39% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Tommy Edman to Hit a Home Run

Tommy Edman has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 22 games (18%). You can place a wager on him to hit another one at odds of +1100 (8%), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Yoshinobu Yamamoto of the Padres to record over 4.5 hits allowed, with an edge of 12.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Dodgers -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Padres vs. Dodgers predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.