Padres vs. Diamondbacks Picks & Best Bets 29th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Arizona Diamondbacks will face the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Sunday at Chase Field, beginning at 3:10 p.m. ET.

We have performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to highlight the best Padres vs. Diamondbacks bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Diamondbacks have a 61% chance of defeating the Padres.

To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Padres vs. Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Padres vs. Diamondbacks picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, September 29th, 2024
• Game Time: 3:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Chase Field
• Run Line: Padres +1.5 / Diamondbacks -1.5
• Moneyline: Padres +180 / Diamondbacks -200
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-118/+100)

Padres +1.5 @ -115 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Padres have a 56% chance of covering the run line, while the Diamondbacks have a probability of 44%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -115 for the Padres +1.5, providing a favorable 2.1% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -118 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -118.
• Our analysis shows a 64% likelihood that the total will go over 8.5 runs, providing an edge of 9.6%.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Diego Padres at +180 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Arizona Diamondbacks are available at -200 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Diamondbacks are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 61% chance of coming out on top.

Even though the Diamondbacks are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +180 odds on the Padres moneyline, providing an edge of 3.2%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Corbin Carroll To Get a Hit (-200)

• Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Corbin Carroll to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 80.5%, giving us an edge of 13.8% on the -200 odds offered by BetMGM.

Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction - Corbin Carroll To Get a Hit (-200)

• Our best prop bet for the Diamondbacks is on Corbin Carroll to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 80.5%, providing an edge of 13.8% on the -200 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Padres vs. Diamondbacks trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Elias Díaz to Hit a Home Run

Elias Díaz has hit at least one home run in 1 of his last 10 games (10% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +900 (10% implied probability), available at Bet365.

David Peralta to Hit a Home Run

David Peralta has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 17 games (12%). You can make a bet that he'll hit another one at odds of +850 (11%), also available at Bet365.

Jake McCarthy to Record a Hit

Jake McCarthy has recorded at least one hit in 9 of his last 13 games (69%). You can bet on him to record at least one hit again at odds of -200 (67%), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Corbin Carroll of the Padres to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Padres +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Padres vs. Diamondbacks predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.