Padres vs. Diamondbacks Picks & Best Bets 27th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Arizona Diamondbacks will host the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Friday at Chase Field, beginning at 9:40 p.m. ET.

We run 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to highlight the best Padres vs. Diamondbacks bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Diamondbacks have a 54% chance of defeating the Padres.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Padres vs. Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Padres vs. Diamondbacks picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, September 27th, 2024
• Game Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Chase Field
• Run Line: Padres +1.5 / Diamondbacks -1.5
• Moneyline: Padres +114 / Diamondbacks -126
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (+100/-104)

Diamondbacks -1.5 @ +155 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Diamondbacks have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the Diamondbacks have a probability of 38%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at +155.

Total Runs Over 9 @ +100 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at +100.
• Our analysis shows a 59% probability of the 9-run total going over, providing an edge of 9%.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Diego Padres at +114 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Arizona Diamondbacks are available at -126 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Diamondbacks are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 54% chance of coming out on top.

Additionally, the Diamondbacks present the best betting value, with the odds of -126 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Pavin Smith To Get a Hit (-155)

• Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Pavin Smith to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 74.5%, providing an edge of 13.7% on the -155 odds offered by DraftKings.

Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction - Pavin Smith To Get a Hit (-155)

• Our best prop bet for the Diamondbacks is on Pavin Smith to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 74.5%, giving us an edge of 13.7% on the -155 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Padres vs. Diamondbacks trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Randal Grichuk to Hit a Home Run

Randal Grichuk has hit at least one home run in 6 of his last 20 games (30% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +475 (17% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Gabriel Moreno to Record a Hit

Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 19 appearances (74%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -190 (66%), available at DraftKings.

Josh Bell to Record an RBI

Josh Bell has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 14 appearances (50%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +155 (39%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Pavin Smith of the Padres to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Diamondbacks -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Padres vs. Diamondbacks predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.