Padres vs. Braves Picks & Best Bets: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Atlanta Braves will go up against the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Friday at Truist Park, starting at 7:20 p.m. ET.
We've run 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to pinpoint the best Padres vs. Braves bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Braves have a 65% chance of beating the Padres.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Padres vs. Braves Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Padres vs. Braves picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Padres vs. Braves Game Information
- Game Date: Friday, May 17th, 2024
- Game Time: 7:20 p.m. ET
- Location: Truist Park
- Run Line: Padres +1.5 / Braves -1.5
- Moneyline: Padres +180 / Braves -215
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-106/-105)
Padres +1.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Padres +1.5 | BetMGM | -110 |
- According to our simulations, the Padres have a 53% chance of covering the run line, while the Braves have a probability of 47%.
- BetMGM offers odds of -110 for the Padres +1.5, presenting a favorable 1.1% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 8 @ -106 via FanDuel Sportsbook
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 8 | FanDuel Sportsbook | -106 |
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -106.
- Our analysis suggests a 59% probability that the total will go over 8 runs, providing an edge of 8%.
Padres vs. Braves Moneyline Odds
| San Diego Padres | Atlanta Braves |
|---|---|
| +180 via BetMGM | -215 via FanDuel Sportsbook |
The Braves are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 65% chance of prevailing.
Even though the Braves are favored to win, BetMGM offers +180 odds on the Padres moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Padres vs. Braves
Here are the top MLB player props for Friday's Padres vs. Braves game.
San Diego Padres Prediction - Matt Waldron Under 3.5 Earned Runs (-140)
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Waldron Under 3.5 Earned Runs | BetMGM | -140 |
- Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Matt Waldron to record under 3.5 earned runs.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 66.6%, providing an edge of 8.3% on the -140 odds offered by BetMGM.
Atlanta Braves Prediction - Max Fried Over 5.5 Hits Allowed (+105)
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Max Fried Over 5.5 Hits Allowed | BetMGM | +105 |
- Our best prop bet for the Braves is on Max Fried to have over 5.5 hits allowed.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 56.4%, giving us an edge of 7.6% on the +105 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Padres vs. Braves Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Padres vs. Braves trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Luis Arraez to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Arraez to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | +235 |
Luis Arraez has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 13 games (46% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +235 (30% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Marcell Ozuna to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | +100 |
Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 12 games (50%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +100 (50%), also available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Matt Waldron of the Padres to record under 3.5 earned runs, with an edge of 8.3% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Padres +1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Padres vs. Braves predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.
The people behind this page
DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online.
BettingOdds.com takes no responsibility for your actions.
