Orioles vs. Red Sox Picks & Best Bets 11th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Boston Red Sox will meet the Baltimore Orioles in MLB action on Wednesday at Fenway Park, starting at 7:10 p.m. ET.

We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to determine the best Orioles vs. Red Sox bets, player props and predictions.

Using these simulations, we predict that the Red Sox have a 58% chance of beating the Orioles.

To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Orioles vs. Red Sox Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Orioles vs. Red Sox picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Orioles vs. Red Sox Game Information

• Game Date: Wednesday, September 11th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Fenway Park
• Run Line: Orioles +1.5 / Red Sox -1.5
• Moneyline: Orioles +120 / Red Sox -138
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-114/+100)

Red Sox -1.5 @ +150 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Red Sox have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Red Sox have a probability of 40%.
• BetMGM offers odds of +150 for the Red Sox -1.5, presenting a favorable 0.5% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 9 @ -114 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -114.
• Our analysis shows a 54% chance of the 9-run total going over, providing an edge of 0.3%.

Orioles vs. Red Sox Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Baltimore Orioles at +120 via BetMGM, whilst the Boston Red Sox are available at -138 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Red Sox are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 58% chance of victory.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Red Sox also present the best betting value, with the odds of -138 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Baltimore Orioles Prediction - Coby Mayo To Get a Hit (-130)

• Our top prop bet for the Orioles is on Coby Mayo to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 62.8%, giving us an edge of 6.2% on the -130 odds offered by BetMGM.

Boston Red Sox Prediction - Wilyer Abreu To Get a Hit (-165)

• Our best prop bet for the Red Sox is on Wilyer Abreu to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 76.0%, giving us an edge of 13.7% on the -165 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Orioles vs. Red Sox Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Orioles vs. Red Sox trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Connor Wong to Hit a Home Run

Connor Wong has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 10 games (20% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +850 (11% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Wilyer Abreu of the Red Sox to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Red Sox -1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Orioles vs. Red Sox predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online MLB betting sites.