Orioles vs. Mets Picks & Best Bets 21st Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The New York Mets will face the Baltimore Orioles in MLB action on Wednesday at Citi Field, starting at 1:10 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to determine the best Orioles vs. Mets bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Mets have a 59% chance of beating the Orioles.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Orioles vs. Mets Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Orioles vs. Mets picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Orioles vs. Mets Game Information

• Game Date: Wednesday, August 21st, 2024
• Game Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Citi Field
• Run Line: Orioles +1.5 / Mets -1.5
• Moneyline: Orioles +116 / Mets -130
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-105/-110)

Mets -1.5 @ +165 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Mets have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 41%.
• BetMGM offers odds of +165 for the Mets -1.5, presenting a favorable 3.4% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 8.5 @ -110 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -110.
• Our analysis shows a 51% chance of the 8.5-run total staying under.

Orioles vs. Mets Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Baltimore Orioles at +116 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the New York Mets are available at -130 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 59% chance of victory.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Mets also present the best betting value, with the odds of -130 available at BetMGM for an edge of 2.1%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Orioles vs. Mets

Here are the best MLB player props for Wednesday's Orioles vs. Mets matchup.

Baltimore Orioles Prediction - Gunnar Henderson To Get a HR (+650)

• Our top prop bet for the Orioles is on Gunnar Henderson to hit a home run.
• Our analysis projects him to have a probability of 17.1% of going yard, giving us an edge of 3.7% on the +650 odds offered by BetMGM.

New York Mets Prediction - Harrison Bader To Get a Hit (-155)

• Our best prop bet for the Mets is on Harrison Bader to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 73.8%, giving us an edge of 13.0% on the -155 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Orioles vs. Mets Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Orioles vs. Mets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Starling Marte to Hit a Home Run

Starling Marte has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 25 appearances (12% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +750 (12% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Harrison Bader of the Mets to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Mets -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Orioles vs. Mets predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.