Orioles vs. Mets Picks & Best Bets 19th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The New York Mets will go up against the Baltimore Orioles in MLB action on Monday at Citi Field, starting at 7:10 p.m. ET.

We've performed 10,000 simulations of Monday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to pinpoint the best Orioles vs. Mets bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Mets have a 59% chance of beating the Orioles.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Orioles vs. Mets Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Orioles vs. Mets picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Orioles vs. Mets Game Information

• Game Date: Monday, August 19th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Citi Field
• Run Line: Orioles +1.5 / Mets -1.5
• Moneyline: Orioles +116 / Mets -135
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-105/-112)

Mets -1.5 @ +155 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Mets have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 41%.
• BetMGM offers odds of +155 for the Mets -1.5, providing a favorable 1.4% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 9 @ -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -112.
• Our analysis shows a 53% chance of the 9-run total staying under, providing an edge of 0.1%.

Orioles vs. Mets Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Baltimore Orioles at +116 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the New York Mets are available at -135 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 59% chance of coming out on top.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Mets also present the best betting value, with the odds of -135 available at BetMGM for an edge of 1.7%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Orioles vs. Mets

Here are the best MLB player props for Monday's Orioles vs. Mets game.

Baltimore Orioles Prediction - Trevor Rogers Under 2.5 Earned Runs (+115)

• Our top prop bet for the Orioles is on Trevor Rogers to record under 2.5 earned runs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 57.3%, giving us an edge of 10.8% the +115 odds offered by BetMGM.

New York Mets Prediction - Harrison Bader To Get a Hit (-165)

• Our best prop bet for the Mets is on Harrison Bader to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 71.2%, giving us an edge of 8.9% on the -165 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Orioles vs. Mets Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Orioles vs. Mets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Gunnar Henderson to Hit a Home Run

Gunnar Henderson has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 10 appearances (40% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +600 (14% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Austin Slater to Record an RBI

Austin Slater has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 25 games (24%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +330 (23%), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Trevor Rogers of the Orioles to record under 2.5 earned runs, with an edge of 10.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Mets -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Orioles vs. Mets predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.