Orioles vs. Guardians Picks & Best Bets 4th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cleveland Guardians will host the Baltimore Orioles in MLB action on Sunday at Progressive Field, starting at 1:40 p.m. ET.

We conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to reveal the best Orioles vs. Guardians bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Guardians have a 51% chance of defeating the Orioles.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Orioles vs. Guardians Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Orioles vs. Guardians picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Orioles vs. Guardians Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, August 4th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Progressive Field
• Run Line: Orioles -1.5 / Guardians +1.5
• Moneyline: Orioles -126 / Guardians +115
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-115/+102)

Guardians +1.5 @ -152 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Guardians have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the Orioles have a probability of 37%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -152 for the Guardians +1.5, providing a favorable 3.1% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -115 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -115.
• Our analysis shows a 56% chance of the 7.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 2.2%.

Orioles vs. Guardians Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Baltimore Orioles at -126 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Cleveland Guardians are available at +115 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Guardians are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 51% chance of coming out on top.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Guardians also present the best betting value, with the odds of +115 available at BetMGM, presenting an edge of 4.3%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Orioles vs. Guardians

Here are the best MLB player props for Sunday's Orioles vs. Guardians matchup.

Baltimore Orioles Prediction - Anthony Santander To Get an RBI (+175)

• Our top prop bet for the Orioles is on Anthony Santander to hit an RBI.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 36.8%, providing an edge of 0.4% the +175 odds offered by BetMGM.

Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Gavin Williams Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+106)

• Our best prop bet for the Guardians is on Gavin Williams to have over 5.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 60.4%, providing an edge of 11.8% on the +106 odds available at FanDuel.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Orioles vs. Guardians Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Orioles vs. Guardians trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Colton Cowser to Record an RBI

Colton Cowser has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 13 appearances (62% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +225 (31% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Anthony Santander to Record an RBI

Anthony Santander has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 11 appearances (64%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +180 (36%), also available at DraftKings.

Jackson Holliday to Record an RBI

Jackson Holliday has recorded at least one RBI in 3 of his last 10 appearances (30%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +270 (27%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Gavin Williams of the Guardians to record over 5.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 11.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Guardians +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Orioles vs. Guardians predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.