Nationals vs. Rays Picks & Best Bets 28th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Tampa Bay Rays will take on the Washington Nationals in MLB action on Friday at Tropicana Field, beginning at 6:50 p.m. ET.

We run 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to reveal the best Nationals vs. Rays bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Rays have a 60% chance of defeating the Nationals.

To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Nationals vs. Rays Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Nationals vs. Rays picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Nationals vs. Rays Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, June 28th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:50 p.m. ET
• Location: Tropicana Field
• Run Line: Nationals +1.5 / Rays -1.5
• Moneyline: Nationals +154 / Rays -174
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-105/-108)

Nationals +1.5 @ -142 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Nationals have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the Rays have a probability of 41%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -142 for the Nationals +1.5, presenting a favorable 0.3% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -105 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -105.
• Our analysis shows a 54% chance that the total will go over 7.5 runs, providing an edge of 2.4%.

Nationals vs. Rays Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Washington Nationals at +154 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Tampa Bay Rays are available at -174 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Rays are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 60% chance of coming out on top.

Although the Rays are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +154 odds on the Nationals moneyline, providing an edge of 0.7%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Nationals vs. Rays

Here are the best MLB player props for Friday's Nationals vs. Rays game.

Washington Nationals Prediction - Mitchell Parker Under 16.5 Outs Recorded (-120)

• Our top prop bet for the Nationals is on Mitchell Parker to record under 16.5 outs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 68.3%, giving us an edge of 13.8% the -120 odds offered by BetMGM.

Tampa Bay Rays Prediction - Zach Eflin Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+110)

• Our best prop bet for the Rays is on Zach Eflin to have over 4.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 54.5%, giving us an edge of 6.9% on the +110 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Nationals vs. Rays Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Nationals vs. Rays trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Yandy Díaz to Record an RBI

Yandy Díaz has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 10 appearances (80% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +205 (33% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Randy Arozarena to Record an RBI

Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 10 games (50%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +175 (36%), also available at DraftKings.

Randy Arozarena to Record a Hit

Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one hit in 9 of his last 11 games (82%). You can bet on him to record at least one hit again at odds of -240 (71%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Mitchell Parker of the Nationals to record under 16.5 outs, with an edge of 13.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Nationals +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Nationals vs. Rays predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.