Nationals vs. Pirates Picks & Best Bets 5th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates will host the Washington Nationals in MLB action on Thursday at PNC Park, beginning at 6:40 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to identify the best Nationals vs. Pirates bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Pirates have a 54% chance of defeating the Nationals.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Nationals vs. Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Nationals vs. Pirates picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Nationals vs. Pirates Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, September 5th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Location: PNC Park
• Run Line: Nationals -1.5 / Pirates +1.5
• Moneyline: Nationals +105 / Pirates -120
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-115/-105)

Pirates +1.5 @ -200 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Pirates have a 67% chance of covering the run line, while the Nationals have a probability of 33%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -200.

Total Runs Over 8 @ -115 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -115.
• Our analysis suggests a 53% likelihood of the 8-run total going over.

Nationals vs. Pirates Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Washington Nationals at +105 via BetMGM, whilst the Pittsburgh Pirates are available at -120 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Pirates are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 54% chance of coming out on top.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Pirates also present the best betting value, with the odds of -120 available at FanDuel Sportsbook, presenting an edge of 0%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Nationals vs. Pirates

Here are the best MLB player props for Thursday's Nationals vs. Pirates game.

Washington Nationals Prediction - Jake Irvin Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (+120)

• Our top prop bet for the Nationals is on Jake Irvin to record under 1.5 walks allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 50.8%, providing an edge of 5.3% on the +120 odds offered by BetMGM.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Billy McKinney To Get a Hit (-110)

• Our best prop bet for the Pirates is on Billy McKinney to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 64.7%, providing an edge of 12.3% on the -110 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Nationals vs. Pirates Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Nationals vs. Pirates trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Jacob Young to Record an RBI

Jacob Young has recorded at least one RBI in 9 of his last 21 appearances (43% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +230 (30% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Billy McKinney of the Pirates to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Pirates +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Nationals vs. Pirates predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online MLB betting sites.