Nationals vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the Washington Nationals in MLB action on Friday at Citizens Bank Park, starting at 6:40 p.m. ET.
We've run 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to identify the best Nationals vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Phillies have a 67% chance of defeating the Nationals.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continually source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Nationals vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Nationals vs. Phillies picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Nationals vs. Phillies Game Information
- Game Date: Friday, May 17th, 2024
- Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Location: Citizens Bank Park
- Run Line: Nationals +1.5 / Phillies -1.5
- Moneyline: Nationals +205 / Phillies -245
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-120/+100)
Nationals +1.5 @ +100 via BetMGM
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nationals +1.5 | BetMGM | +100 |
- According to our simulations, the Nationals have a 51% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 49%.
- BetMGM offers odds of +100 for the Nationals +1.5, providing a favorable 0.8% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -120 via BetMGM
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 | BetMGM | -120 |
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -120.
- Our analysis suggests a 55% chance that the total will go over 7.5 runs, providing an edge of 0.2%.
Nationals vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds
| Washington Nationals | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|
| +205 via FanDuel Sportsbook | -245 via DraftKings Sportsbook |
The Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 67% chance of coming out on top.
Even though the Phillies are favored to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +205 odds on the Nationals moneyline, providing an edge of 0.6%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Nationals vs. Phillies
Here are the top MLB player props for Friday's Nationals vs. Phillies game.
Washington Nationals Prediction - Victor Robles To Get a Hit (+105)
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Victor Robles To Get a Hit | BetMGM | +105 |
- Our top prop bet for the Nationals is on Victor Robles to get a hit.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 54.9%, providing an edge of 6.1% over the +105 odds offered by BetMGM.
Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Nick Castellanos To Get a Hit (-200)
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos To Get a Hit | DraftKings Sportsbook | -200 |
- Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on Nick Castellanos to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 71.7%, giving us an edge of 5.0% on the -200 odds available at DraftKings.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Nationals vs. Phillies Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Nationals vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Joey Meneses to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | +280 |
Joey Meneses has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 11 appearances (55% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +280 (26% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Bryson Stott to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bryson Stott to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | +170 |
Bryson Stott has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 11 games (64%). You can place a bet on him to record another one at odds of +170 (37%), also available at DraftKings.
Eddie Rosario to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | +170 |
Eddie Rosario has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 10 games (60%). You can wager on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +240 (29%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Victor Robles of the Nationals to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Nationals +1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Nationals vs. Phillies predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online MLB betting sites.
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