Nationals vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets 18th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies will face the Washington Nationals in MLB action on Sunday at Citizens Bank Park, beginning at 1:35 p.m. ET.

We performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to determine the best Nationals vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Phillies have a 60% chance of beating the Nationals.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Nationals vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Nationals vs. Phillies picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Nationals vs. Phillies Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, August 18th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
• Location: Citizens Bank Park
• Run Line: Nationals +1.5 / Phillies -1.5
• Moneyline: Nationals +136 / Phillies -156
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9.5 Runs (+100/-120)

Phillies -1.5 @ +128 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Phillies have a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 42%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at +128.

Total Runs Over 9.5 @ +100 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at +100.
• Our analysis shows a 48% chance that the total will go over 9.5 runs, which presents better value compared to betting on the under.

Nationals vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Washington Nationals at +136 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Philadelphia Phillies are available at -156 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 60% chance of coming out on top.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Phillies also present the best betting value, with the odds of -156 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Nationals vs. Phillies

Here are the best MLB player props for Sunday's Nationals vs. Phillies game.

Washington Nationals Prediction - Jake Irvin Under 2.5 Earned Runs (+120)

• Our top prop bet for the Nationals is on Jake Irvin to record under 2.5 earned runs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 53.8%, providing an edge of 8.4% on the +120 odds offered by BetMGM.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Garrett Stubbs To Get a Hit (-130)

• Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on Garrett Stubbs to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 69.8%, giving us an edge of 13.3% on the -130 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Nationals vs. Phillies Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Nationals vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Jacob Young to Hit a Home Run

Jacob Young has hit at least one home run in 1 of his last 10 games (10% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +1400 (7% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Garrett Stubbs of the Phillies to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Phillies -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Nationals vs. Phillies predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.