Nationals vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets 17th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies will go up against the Washington Nationals in MLB action on Saturday at Citizens Bank Park, beginning at 6:05 p.m. ET.

We run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to reveal the best Nationals vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Phillies have a 66% chance of beating the Nationals.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Nationals vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Nationals vs. Phillies picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Nationals vs. Phillies Game Information

• Game Date: Saturday, August 17th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:05 p.m. ET
• Location: Citizens Bank Park
• Run Line: Nationals +1.5 / Phillies -1.5
• Moneyline: Nationals +195 / Phillies -225
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-110/-105)

Nationals +1.5 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Nationals have a 52% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 48%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -108 for the Nationals +1.5, providing a favorable 0.3% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 9 @ -105 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at -105.
• Our analysis indicates a slightly higher probability of the 9-run total staying under, which presents better value compared to betting on the over.

Nationals vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Washington Nationals at +195 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Philadelphia Phillies are available at -225 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 66% chance of victory.

Even though the Phillies are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +195 odds on the Nationals moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Nationals vs. Phillies

Here are the top MLB player props for Saturday's Nationals vs. Phillies game.

Washington Nationals Prediction - MacKenzie Gore Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-125)

• Our top prop bet for the Nationals is on MacKenzie Gore to record under 5.5 hits allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 67.0%, giving us an edge of 11.5% over the -125 odds offered by DraftKings.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Edmundo Sosa To Get a Hit (-220)

• Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on Edmundo Sosa to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 80.1%, providing an edge of 11.4% on the -220 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Nationals vs. Phillies Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Nationals vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Bryce Harper to Record a Hit

Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 13 games (77% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of -275 (73% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing MacKenzie Gore of the Nationals to record under 5.5 hits allowed, with an edge of 11.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Nationals +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Nationals vs. Phillies predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.