Nationals vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets 16th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies will host the Washington Nationals in MLB action on Friday at Citizens Bank Park, starting at 6:40 p.m. ET.

We run 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to pinpoint the best Nationals vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Phillies have a 68% chance of beating the Nationals.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Nationals vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Nationals vs. Phillies picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Nationals vs. Phillies Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, August 16th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Citizens Bank Park
• Run Line: Nationals +1.5 / Phillies -1.5
• Moneyline: Nationals +225 / Phillies -275
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9.5 Runs (+104/-122)

Nationals +1.5 @ +120 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Nationals have a 52% chance of covering the run line, while the Nationals have a probability of 48%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of +120 for the Nationals +1.5, presenting a favorable 2.5% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 9.5 @ +104 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at +104.
• Our analysis suggests a 48% chance that the total will go over 9.5 runs, which presents better value compared to betting on the under.

Nationals vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Washington Nationals at +225 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Philadelphia Phillies are available at -275 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 68% chance of coming out on top.

Even though the Phillies are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +225 odds on the Nationals moneyline, providing an edge of 0.9%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Nationals vs. Phillies

Here are the best MLB player props for Friday's Nationals vs. Phillies game.

Washington Nationals Prediction - Patrick Corbin Under 6.5 Hits Allowed (-145)

• Our top prop bet for the Nationals is on Patrick Corbin to record under 6.5 hits allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 72.9%, providing an edge of 13.8% the -145 odds offered by DraftKings.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Aaron Nola Over 18.5 Outs (+135)

• Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on Aaron Nola to have over 18.5 outs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 55.7%, providing an edge of 13.2% on the +135 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Nationals vs. Phillies Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Nationals vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Jacob Young to Hit a Home Run

Jacob Young has hit at least one home run in 1 of his last 10 games (10% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +1800 (5% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Bryson Stott to Hit a Home Run

Bryson Stott has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 17 appearances (12%). You can place a wager on him to hit another one at odds of +900 (10%), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Patrick Corbin of the Nationals to record under 6.5 hits allowed, with an edge of 13.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Nationals +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Nationals vs. Phillies predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.