Nationals vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets 15th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies will host the Washington Nationals in MLB action on Thursday at Citizens Bank Park, starting at 6:40 p.m. ET.

We've run 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to reveal the best Nationals vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.

Using these simulations, we predict that the Phillies have a 69% chance of beating the Nationals.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Nationals vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Nationals vs. Phillies picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Nationals vs. Phillies Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, August 15th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Citizens Bank Park
• Run Line: Nationals +1.5 / Phillies -1.5
• Moneyline: Nationals +220 / Phillies -265
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-112/-105)

Nationals +1.5 @ +105 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, both the Nationals and Phillies have a 50% chance of covering the run line in this matchup.
• We prefer the Nationals +1.5 due to BetMGM's more favorable odds of +105.

Total Runs Over 8 @ -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -112.
• Our analysis indicates a 51% probability of the 8-run total going over.

Nationals vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Washington Nationals at +220 via BetMGM, whilst the Philadelphia Phillies are available at -265 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 69% chance of prevailing.

Although the Phillies are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +220 odds on the Nationals moneyline, providing an edge of 0.2%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Nationals vs. Phillies

Here are the top MLB player props for Thursday's Nationals vs. Phillies game.

Washington Nationals Prediction - Mitchell Parker Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-108)

• Our top prop bet for the Nationals is on Mitchell Parker to record under 4.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 65.7%, providing an edge of 13.8% over the -108 odds offered by FanDuel.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Zack Wheeler Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (-105)

• Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on Zack Wheeler to have over 1.5 walks allowed.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 64.2%, giving us an edge of 13.0% on the -105 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Nationals vs. Phillies Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Nationals vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Jacob Young to Hit a Home Run

Jacob Young has hit at least one home run in 1 of his last 10 appearances (10% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +2000 (5% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Weston Wilson to Record an RBI

Weston Wilson has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 11 appearances (45%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +155 (39%), also available at DraftKings.

Bryson Stott to Hit a Home Run

Bryson Stott has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 16 appearances (12%). You can wager on him to homer again at odds of +1200 (8%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Mitchell Parker of the Nationals to record under 4.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 13.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Nationals +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Nationals vs. Phillies predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets tonight and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online MLB betting sites.