Nationals vs. Padres Picks & Best Bets 26th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The San Diego Padres will face the Washington Nationals in MLB action on Wednesday at PETCO Park, starting at 4:10 p.m. ET.

We conducted 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to pinpoint the best Nationals vs. Padres bets, player props and predictions.

Using these simulations, we predict that the Padres have a 62% chance of beating the Nationals.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Nationals vs. Padres Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Nationals vs. Padres picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Nationals vs. Padres Game Information

• Game Date: Wednesday, June 26th, 2024
• Game Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Location: PETCO Park
• Run Line: Nationals +1.5 / Padres -1.5
• Moneyline: Nationals +158 / Padres -185
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (+102/-120)

Nationals +1.5 @ -135 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Nationals have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the Padres have a probability of 41%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -135 for the Nationals +1.5, providing a favorable 1.2% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 7.5 @ -120 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at -120.
• Our analysis suggests a 53% likelihood of the 7.5-run total staying under.

Nationals vs. Padres Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Washington Nationals at +158 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the San Diego Padres are available at -185 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 62% chance of victory.

Even though the Padres are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +158 odds on the Nationals moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Nationals vs. Padres

Here are the best MLB player props for Wednesday's Nationals vs. Padres matchup.

Washington Nationals Prediction - DJ Herz Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-140)

• Our top prop bet for the Nationals is on DJ Herz to record under 2.5 earned runs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 69.5%, giving us an edge of 11.2% the -140 odds offered by BetMGM.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Jackson Merrill To Get a Hit (-225)

• Our best prop bet for the Padres is on Jackson Merrill to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 76.3%, providing an edge of 7.1% on the -225 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Nationals vs. Padres Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Nationals vs. Padres trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Jurickson Profar to Record an RBI

Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 16 appearances (50% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +215 (32% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Luis Arraez to Record an RBI

Luis Arraez has recorded at least one RBI in 3 of his last 10 games (30%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +235 (30%), also available at DraftKings.

Ha-Seong Kim to Record an RBI

Ha-Seong Kim has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 17 games (35%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +195 (34%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing DJ Herz of the Nationals to record under 2.5 earned runs, with an edge of 11.2% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Nationals +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Nationals vs. Padres predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online MLB betting sites.