Nationals vs. Padres Picks & Best Bets 24th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The San Diego Padres will meet the Washington Nationals in MLB action on Monday at PETCO Park, starting at 9:40 p.m. ET.
We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Monday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to determine the best Nationals vs. Padres bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Padres have a 60% chance of beating the Nationals.
To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Nationals vs. Padres Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Nationals vs. Padres picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Nationals vs. Padres Game Information
- Game Date: Monday, June 24th, 2024
- Game Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
- Location: PETCO Park
- Run Line: Nationals +1.5 / Padres -1.5
- Moneyline: Nationals +170 / Padres -185
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-115/+100)
Nationals +1.5 @ -125 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Nationals have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the Padres have a probability of 41%.
- BetMGM offers odds of -125 for the Nationals +1.5, providing a favorable 3.5% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -115 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -115.
- Our analysis suggests a 53% likelihood of the 7.5-run total going over.
Nationals vs. Padres Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Washington Nationals at +170 via BetMGM, whilst the San Diego Padres are available at -185 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 60% chance of prevailing.
Even though the Padres are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +170 odds on the Nationals moneyline, providing an edge of 2.6%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Nationals vs. Padres
Here are the top MLB player props for Monday's Nationals vs. Padres matchup.
Washington Nationals Prediction - Patrick Corbin Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (+120)
- Our top prop bet for the Nationals is on Patrick Corbin to record under 1.5 walks allowed.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 56.1%, giving us an edge of 10.7% the +120 odds offered by DraftKings.
San Diego Padres Prediction - Matt Waldron Under 18.5 Outs (-165)
- Our best prop bet for the Padres is on Matt Waldron to have under 18.5 outs.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 72.7%, giving us an edge of 10.5% on the -165 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Nationals vs. Padres Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Nationals vs. Padres trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Jake Cronenworth to Record an RBI
Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 18 appearances (39% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +165 (38% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Patrick Corbin of the Nationals to record under 1.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 10.7% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Nationals +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Nationals vs. Padres predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.