Nationals vs. Orioles Picks & Best Bets 14th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Baltimore Orioles will go up against the Washington Nationals in MLB action on Wednesday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, starting at 6:35 p.m. ET.
We conducted 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to determine the best Nationals vs. Orioles bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Orioles have a 58% chance of defeating the Nationals.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Nationals vs. Orioles Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Nationals vs. Orioles picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Nationals vs. Orioles Game Information
- Game Date: Wednesday, August 14th, 2024
- Game Time: 6:35 p.m. ET
- Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
- Run Line: Nationals +1.5 / Orioles -1.5
- Moneyline: Nationals +145 / Orioles -172
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-122/+100)
Nationals +1.5 @ -135 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Nationals have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the Orioles have a probability of 41%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -135 for the Nationals +1.5, providing a favorable 1.8% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -122 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -122.
- Our analysis indicates a 53% chance of the 8.5-run total going over.
Nationals vs. Orioles Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Washington Nationals at +145 via BetMGM, whilst the Baltimore Orioles are available at -172 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Orioles are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 58% chance of coming out on top.
Even though the Orioles are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +145 odds on the Nationals moneyline, providing an edge of 0.9%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Nationals vs. Orioles
Here are the best MLB player props for Wednesday's Nationals vs. Orioles matchup.
Washington Nationals Prediction - DJ Herz Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-125)
- Our top prop bet for the Nationals is on DJ Herz to record under 4.5 hits allowed.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 68.4%, giving us an edge of 12.8% on the -125 odds offered by BetMGM.
Baltimore Orioles Prediction - Gunnar Henderson To Get a HR (+775)
- Our best prop bet for the Orioles is on Gunnar Henderson to hit a home run.
- According to our analysis, there is a probability of 20.3% that he will go yard, giving us an edge of 8.9% on the +775 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Nationals vs. Orioles Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Nationals vs. Orioles trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Jackson Holliday to Hit a Home Run
Jackson Holliday has hit at least one home run in 5 of his last 12 appearances (42% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +900 (10% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Jacob Young to Hit a Home Run
Jacob Young has hit at least one home run in 1 of his last 10 appearances (10%). You can make a bet that he'll hit another one at odds of +2500 (4%), available at DraftKings.
Keibert Ruiz to Hit a Home Run
Keibert Ruiz has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 21 appearances (14%). You can bet on him to homer again at odds of +750 (12%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing DJ Herz of the Nationals to record under 4.5 hits allowed, with an edge of 12.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Nationals +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Nationals vs. Orioles predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the leading online MLB betting sites.