Nationals vs. Mets Picks & Best Bets 18th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The New York Mets will face the Washington Nationals in MLB action on Wednesday at Citi Field, starting at 7:10 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to highlight the best Nationals vs. Mets bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Mets have a 62% chance of beating the Nationals.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Nationals vs. Mets Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Nationals vs. Mets picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Nationals vs. Mets Game Information

• Game Date: Wednesday, September 18th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Citi Field
• Run Line: Nationals +1.5 / Mets -1.5
• Moneyline: Nationals +145 / Mets -166
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7 Runs (-115/+100)

Mets -1.5 @ +126 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Mets have a 56% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 44%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at +126.

Total Runs Over 7 @ -115 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -115.
• Our analysis indicates a 55% likelihood that the total will go over 7 runs, providing an edge of 1.3%.

Nationals vs. Mets Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Washington Nationals at +145 via BetMGM, whilst the New York Mets are available at -166 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 62% chance of victory.

Additionally, the Mets present the best betting value, with the odds of -166 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Washington Nationals Prediction - DJ Herz Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+125)

• Our top prop bet for the Nationals is on DJ Herz to record under 4.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 50.1%, giving us an edge of 5.7% on the +125 odds offered by DraftKings.

New York Mets Prediction - Pete Alonso To Get a Hit (-160)

• Our best prop bet for the Mets is on Pete Alonso to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 71.4%, giving us an edge of 9.8% on the -160 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Nationals vs. Mets Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Nationals vs. Mets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Starling Marte to Record a Hit

Starling Marte has recorded at least one hit in 16 of his last 23 appearances (70% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of -190 (66% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Harrison Bader to Hit a Home Run

Harrison Bader has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 10 appearances (20%). You can place a bet on him to hit another one at odds of +650 (13%), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Pete Alonso of the Mets to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Mets -1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Nationals vs. Mets predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online MLB betting sites.