Nationals vs. Mets Picks & Best Bets 17th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The New York Mets will take on the Washington Nationals in MLB action on Tuesday at Citi Field, beginning at 7:10 p.m. ET.

We have performed 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to reveal the best Nationals vs. Mets bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Mets have a 64% chance of beating the Nationals.

To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Nationals vs. Mets Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Nationals vs. Mets picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Nationals vs. Mets Game Information

• Game Date: Tuesday, September 17th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Citi Field
• Run Line: Nationals +1.5 / Mets -1.5
• Moneyline: Nationals +145 / Mets -172
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-110/-105)

Mets -1.5 @ +124 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Mets have a 55% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 45%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of +124 for the Mets -1.5, presenting a favorable 0% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -110.
• Our analysis shows a 58% likelihood that the total will go over 7.5 runs, providing an edge of 5.7%.

Nationals vs. Mets Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Washington Nationals at +145 via BetMGM, whilst the New York Mets are available at -172 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 64% chance of victory.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Mets also present the best betting value, with the odds of -172 available at FanDuel Sportsbook for an edge of 0.3%.

Washington Nationals Prediction - Mitchell Parker Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120)

• Our top prop bet for the Nationals is on Mitchell Parker to record under 4.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 67.8%, giving us an edge of 13.2% on the -120 odds offered by BetMGM.

New York Mets Prediction - Harrison Bader To Get a Hit (-165)

• Our best prop bet for the Mets is on Harrison Bader to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 73.7%, giving us an edge of 11.5% on the -165 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Nationals vs. Mets Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Nationals vs. Mets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Joey Gallo to Hit a Home Run

Joey Gallo has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 10 appearances (20% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +650 (13% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Brandon Nimmo to Record a Hit

Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in 8 of his last 11 games (73%). You can place a bet on him to get another one at odds of -200 (67%), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Mitchell Parker of the Nationals to record under 4.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 13.2% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Mets -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Nationals vs. Mets predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the leading online MLB betting sites.