Nationals vs. Mets Picks & Best Bets 11th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The New York Mets will face the Washington Nationals in MLB action on Thursday at Citi Field, beginning at 1:10 p.m. ET.

We run 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to reveal the best Nationals vs. Mets bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Mets have a 57% chance of defeating the Nationals.

To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Nationals vs. Mets Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Nationals vs. Mets picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Nationals vs. Mets Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, July 11th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Citi Field
• Run Line: Nationals +1.5 / Mets -1.5
• Moneyline: Nationals +120 / Mets -130
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-104/-118)

Mets -1.5 @ +150 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Mets have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 39%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at +150.

Total Runs Under 9 @ -118 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -118.
• Our analysis shows a 53% probability that the total will stay under 9 runs.

Nationals vs. Mets Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Washington Nationals at +120 via BetMGM, whilst the New York Mets are available at -130 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 57% chance of coming out on top.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Mets also present the best betting value, with the odds of -130 available at FanDuel Sportsbook, presenting an edge of 0.9%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Nationals vs. Mets

Here are the best MLB player props for Thursday's Nationals vs. Mets game.

Washington Nationals Prediction - MacKenzie Gore Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-130)

• Our top prop bet for the Nationals is on MacKenzie Gore to record under 5.5 hits allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 69.3%, giving us an edge of 12.8% the -130 odds offered by BetMGM.

New York Mets Prediction - David Peterson Under 16.5 Outs (-105)

• Our best prop bet for the Mets is on David Peterson to have under 16.5 outs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 60.6%, providing an edge of 9.4% on the -105 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Nationals vs. Mets Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Nationals vs. Mets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Mark Vientos to Record a Hit

Mark Vientos has recorded at least one hit in 9 of his last 11 games (82% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of -235 (70% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Juan Yepez to Record a Hit

Juan Yepez has recorded at least one hit in 8 of his last 10 appearances (80%). You can place a bet on him to get another one at odds of -230 (70%), also available at DraftKings.

James Wood to Record a Hit

James Wood has recorded at least one hit in 7 of his last 10 appearances (70%). You can bet on him to record at least one hit again at odds of -190 (66%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing MacKenzie Gore of the Nationals to record under 5.5 hits allowed, with an edge of 12.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Mets -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Nationals vs. Mets predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.