Nationals vs. Mets Picks & Best Bets 10th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The New York Mets will go up against the Washington Nationals in MLB action on Wednesday at Citi Field, beginning at 7:10 p.m. ET.
We conducted 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to highlight the best Nationals vs. Mets bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Mets have a 63% chance of beating the Nationals.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Nationals vs. Mets Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Nationals vs. Mets picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Nationals vs. Mets Game Information
- Game Date: Wednesday, July 10th, 2024
- Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Location: Citi Field
- Run Line: Nationals +1.5 / Mets -1.5
- Moneyline: Nationals +172 / Mets -200
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 9.5 Runs (-110/-105)
Nationals +1.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Nationals have a 54% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 46%.
- BetMGM offers odds of -110 for the Nationals +1.5, providing a favorable 2% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 9.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -110.
- Our analysis shows a 51% probability of the 9.5-run total going over.
Nationals vs. Mets Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Washington Nationals at +172 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the New York Mets are available at -200 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 63% chance of coming out on top.
Although the Mets are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +172 odds on the Nationals moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Nationals vs. Mets
Here are the best MLB player props for Wednesday's Nationals vs. Mets matchup.
Washington Nationals Prediction - Patrick Corbin Under 16.5 Outs Recorded (-120)
- Our top prop bet for the Nationals is on Patrick Corbin to record under 16.5 outs.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 64.9%, giving us an edge of 10.3% the -120 odds offered by BetMGM.
New York Mets Prediction - Luis Severino Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+128)
- Our best prop bet for the Mets is on Luis Severino to have over 4.5 strikeouts.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 52.7%, providing an edge of 8.9% on the +128 odds available at FanDuel.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Nationals vs. Mets Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Nationals vs. Mets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Mark Vientos to Record an RBI
Mark Vientos has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 14 games (57% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +130 (43% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Patrick Corbin of the Nationals to record under 16.5 outs, with an edge of 10.3% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Nationals +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Nationals vs. Mets predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the leading online MLB betting sites.