Nationals vs. Marlins Picks & Best Bets 4th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Miami Marlins will host the Washington Nationals in MLB action on Wednesday at loanDepot park, beginning at 6:40 p.m. ET.

We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to determine the best Nationals vs. Marlins bets, player props and predictions.

Using these simulations, we predict that the Nationals have a 55% chance of defeating the Marlins.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Nationals vs. Marlins Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Nationals vs. Marlins picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Nationals vs. Marlins Game Information

• Game Date: Wednesday, September 4th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Location: loanDepot park
• Run Line: Nationals -1.5 / Marlins +1.5
• Moneyline: Nationals -145 / Marlins +126
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-102/-110)

Nationals -1.5 @ +118 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Nationals have a 55% chance of covering the run line, while the Nationals have a probability of 45%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at +118.

Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -102.
• Our analysis shows a 52% chance that the total will go over 8.5 runs, providing an edge of 1.2%.

Nationals vs. Marlins Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Washington Nationals at -145 via BetMGM, whilst the Miami Marlins are available at +126 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Nationals are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 55% chance of victory.

Even though the Nationals are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +126 odds on the Marlins moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Nationals vs. Marlins

Here are the best MLB player props for Wednesday's Nationals vs. Marlins game.

Washington Nationals Prediction - MacKenzie Gore Under 17.5 Outs Recorded (-125)

• Our top prop bet for the Nationals is on MacKenzie Gore to record under 17.5 outs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 68.3%, giving us an edge of 12.8% on the -125 odds offered by DraftKings.

Miami Marlins Prediction - Valente Bellozo Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (+135)

• Our best prop bet for the Marlins is on Valente Bellozo to have under 1.5 walks allowed.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 54.2%, giving us an edge of 11.6% on the +135 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Nationals vs. Marlins Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Nationals vs. Marlins trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

James Wood to Record a Hit

James Wood has recorded at least one hit in 8 of his last 12 appearances (67% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of -195 (66% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Jonah Bride to Record a Hit

Jonah Bride has recorded at least one hit in 16 of his last 24 games (67%). You can place a bet on him to get another one at odds of -185 (65%), also available at DraftKings.

Cristian Pache to Hit a Home Run

Cristian Pache has hit at least one home run in 1 of his last 10 appearances (10%). You can wager on him to homer again at odds of +1000 (9%), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing MacKenzie Gore of the Nationals to record under 17.5 outs, with an edge of 12.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Nationals -1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Nationals vs. Marlins predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online MLB betting sites.