Nationals vs. Braves Picks & Best Bets 23rd Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Atlanta Braves will take on the Washington Nationals in MLB action on Friday at Truist Park, beginning at 7:20 p.m. ET.
We run 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to determine the best Nationals vs. Braves bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Braves have a 70% chance of beating the Nationals.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Nationals vs. Braves Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Nationals vs. Braves picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Nationals vs. Braves Game Information
- Game Date: Friday, August 23rd, 2024
- Game Time: 7:20 p.m. ET
- Location: Truist Park
- Run Line: Nationals +1.5 / Braves -1.5
- Moneyline: Nationals +220 / Braves -260
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (+102/-114)
Nationals +1.5 @ +100 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Nationals have a 51% chance of covering the run line, while the Nationals have a probability of 49%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at +100.
Total Runs Over 7.5 @ +102 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at +102.
- Our analysis shows a slightly higher chance that the total will go over 7.5 runs, providing an edge of 0.4%.
Nationals vs. Braves Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Washington Nationals at +220 via BetMGM, whilst the Atlanta Braves are available at -260 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Braves are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 70% chance of victory.
Although the Braves are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +220 odds on the Nationals moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Nationals vs. Braves
Here are the top MLB player props for Friday's Nationals vs. Braves matchup.
Washington Nationals Prediction - MacKenzie Gore Under 2.5 Walks Allowed (-150)
- Our top prop bet for the Nationals is on MacKenzie Gore to record under 2.5 walks allowed.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 73.1%, providing an edge of 13.1% over the -150 odds offered by BetMGM.
Atlanta Braves Prediction - Orlando Arcia To Get a Hit (-165)
- Our best prop bet for the Braves is on Orlando Arcia to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 74.8%, giving us an edge of 12.6% on the -165 odds available at DraftKings.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Nationals vs. Braves Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Nationals vs. Braves trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Michael Harris II to Record a Hit
Michael Harris II has recorded at least one hit in 11 of his last 13 appearances (85% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of -275 (73% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Juan Yepez to Hit a Home Run
Juan Yepez has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 13 games (15%). You can make a bet that he'll hit another one at odds of +850 (11%), available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing MacKenzie Gore of the Nationals to record under 2.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 13.1% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Nationals +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Nationals vs. Braves predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets tonight and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.