Mets vs. Pirates Picks & Best Bets 7th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates will take on the New York Mets in MLB action on Sunday at PNC Park, starting at 1:35 p.m. ET.
We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to highlight the best Mets vs. Pirates bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Mets have a 53% chance of defeating the Pirates.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Mets vs. Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Mets vs. Pirates picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Mets vs. Pirates Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, July 7th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
- Location: PNC Park
- Run Line: Mets -1.5 / Pirates +1.5
- Moneyline: Mets -126 / Pirates +110
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-110/-105)
Pirates +1.5 @ -148 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Pirates have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 41%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -148.
Total Runs Under 9 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -105.
- Our analysis shows a 52% likelihood of the 9-run total staying under, providing an edge of 1%.
Mets vs. Pirates Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New York Mets at -126 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Pittsburgh Pirates are available at +110 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 53% chance of coming out on top.
Although the Mets are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +110 odds on the Pirates moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Mets vs. Pirates
Here are the best MLB player props for Sunday's Mets vs. Pirates game.
New York Mets Prediction - Sean Manaea Under 15.5 Outs Recorded (-115)
- Our top prop bet for the Mets is on Sean Manaea to record under 15.5 outs.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 58.8%, giving us an edge of 5.3% over the -115 odds offered by BetMGM.
Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Oneil Cruz To Get a Hit (-140)
- Our best prop bet for the Pirates is on Oneil Cruz to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 70.8%, giving us an edge of 12.4% on the -140 odds available at DraftKings.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Mets vs. Pirates Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Mets vs. Pirates trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Mark Vientos to Record an RBI
Mark Vientos has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 11 appearances (73% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +190 (34% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Oneil Cruz to Record an RBI
Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in 11 of his last 25 appearances (44%). You can place a bet on him to record another one at odds of +235 (30%), also available at DraftKings.
Harrison Bader to Record an RBI
Harrison Bader has recorded at least one RBI in 10 of his last 24 appearances (42%). You can wager on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +235 (30%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Oneil Cruz of the Pirates to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Pirates +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Mets vs. Pirates predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online MLB betting sites.