Mets vs. Pirates Picks & Best Bets 6th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates will face the New York Mets in MLB action on Saturday at PNC Park, starting at 4:05 p.m. ET.

We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to identify the best Mets vs. Pirates bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Mets have a 54% chance of defeating the Pirates.

To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Mets vs. Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Mets vs. Pirates picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Mets vs. Pirates Game Information

• Game Date: Saturday, July 6th, 2024
• Game Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
• Location: PNC Park
• Run Line: Mets -1.5 / Pirates +1.5
• Moneyline: Mets -135 / Pirates +124
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9.5 Runs (-114/+100)

Pirates +1.5 @ -130 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Pirates have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 41%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -130 for the Pirates +1.5, presenting a favorable 2.8% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 9.5 @ +100 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at +100.
• Our analysis indicates a 56% chance that the total will stay under 9.5 runs, providing an edge of 5.6%.

Mets vs. Pirates Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New York Mets at -135 via BetMGM, whilst the Pittsburgh Pirates are available at +124 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 54% chance of prevailing.

Even though the Mets are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +124 odds on the Pirates moneyline, providing an edge of 1.6%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Mets vs. Pirates

Here are the best MLB player props for Saturday's Mets vs. Pirates game.

New York Mets Prediction - Pete Alonso To Get an RBI (+135)

• Our top prop bet for the Mets is on Pete Alonso to hit an RBI.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 49.1%, providing an edge of 6.5% over the +135 odds offered by BetMGM.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Oneil Cruz To Get a Hit (-140)

• Our best prop bet for the Pirates is on Oneil Cruz to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 70.9%, providing an edge of 12.5% on the -140 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Mets vs. Pirates Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Mets vs. Pirates trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Bryan Reynolds to Record an RBI

Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in 9 of his last 14 games (64% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +190 (34% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Oneil Cruz of the Pirates to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Pirates +1.5 to cover.

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