Mets vs. Pirates Picks & Best Bets 5th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates will go up against the New York Mets in MLB action on Friday at PNC Park, beginning at 6:40 p.m. ET.

We conducted 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to highlight the best Mets vs. Pirates bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Pirates have a 58% chance of defeating the Mets.

To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Mets vs. Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Mets vs. Pirates picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Mets vs. Pirates Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, July 5th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Location: PNC Park
• Run Line: Mets +1.5 / Pirates -1.5
• Moneyline: Mets +120 / Pirates -136
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-105/-115)

Pirates -1.5 @ +145 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Pirates have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the Pirates have a probability of 39%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at +145.

Total Runs Under 8 @ -115 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -115.
• Our analysis shows a 53% likelihood that the total will stay under 8 runs.

Mets vs. Pirates Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New York Mets at +120 via BetMGM, whilst the Pittsburgh Pirates are available at -136 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Pirates are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 58% chance of coming out on top.

Additionally, the Pirates present the best betting value, with the odds of -136 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Mets vs. Pirates

Here are the best MLB player props for Friday's Mets vs. Pirates game.

New York Mets Prediction - Pete Alonso To Get an RBI (+200)

• Our top prop bet for the Mets is on Pete Alonso to hit an RBI.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 46.7%, providing an edge of 13.3% the +200 odds offered by DraftKings.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Joey Bart To Get a Hit (-110)

• Our best prop bet for the Pirates is on Joey Bart to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 64.8%, giving us an edge of 12.4% on the -110 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Mets vs. Pirates Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Mets vs. Pirates trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Mark Vientos to Record an RBI

Mark Vientos has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 10 appearances (80% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +245 (29% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

J.D. Martinez to Record a Hit

J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one hit in 8 of his last 10 games (80%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -190 (66%), also available at DraftKings.

Josh Palacios to Hit a Home Run

Josh Palacios has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 10 games (20%). You can wager on him to homer again at odds of +425 (19%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Pete Alonso of the Mets to get an RBI as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Pirates -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Mets vs. Pirates predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets tonight and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.