Mets vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the New York Mets in MLB action on Wednesday at Citizens Bank Park, starting at 6:40 p.m. ET.
We performed 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to determine the best Mets vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Phillies have a 63% chance of beating the Mets.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Mets vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Mets vs. Phillies picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Mets vs. Phillies Game Information
- Game Date: Wednesday, May 15th, 2024
- Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Location: Citizens Bank Park
- Run Line: Mets +1.5 / Phillies -1.5
- Moneyline: Mets +172 / Phillies -200
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-104/-112)
Mets +1.5 @ -120 via BetMGM
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mets +1.5 | BetMGM | -120 |
- According to our simulations, the Mets have a 55% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 45%.
- BetMGM offers odds of -120 for the Mets +1.5, providing a favorable 0.7% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -104 via FanDuel Sportsbook
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 | FanDuel Sportsbook | -104 |
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -104.
- Our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood of the 7.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 0.7%.
Mets vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds
| New York Mets | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|
| +172 via FanDuel Sportsbook | -200 via BetMGM |
The Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 63% chance of victory.
Even though the Phillies are favored to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +172 odds on the Mets moneyline, providing an edge of 0.4%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Mets vs. Phillies
Here are the best MLB player props for Wednesday's Mets vs. Phillies matchup.
New York Mets Prediction - Pete Alonso To Get an RBI (+220)
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso To Get an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | +220 |
- Our top prop bet for the Mets is on Pete Alonso to hit an RBI.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 40.1%, providing an edge of 8.9% over the +220 odds offered by DraftKings.
Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Cristian Pache To Get a Hit (-110)
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Cristian Pache To Get a Hit | BetMGM | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on Cristian Pache to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 66.2%, providing an edge of 13.9% on the -110 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Mets vs. Phillies Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Mets vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Bryce Harper to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | +190 |
Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in 11 of his last 23 games (48% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +190 (34% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Whit Merrifield to Hit a Home Run
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Whit Merrifield to Hit a Home Run | Bet365 | +900 |
Whit Merrifield has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 14 appearances (14%). You can place a wager on him to hit another one at odds of +900 (10%), available at Bet365.
Edmundo Sosa to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Edmundo Sosa to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | +900 |
Edmundo Sosa has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 games (40%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +200 (33%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Cristian Pache of the Phillies to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Mets +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Mets vs. Phillies predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online MLB betting sites.
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