Mets vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets 6th Oct 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the New York Mets in MLB action on Sunday at Citizens Bank Park, starting at 4:08 p.m. ET.

We've performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to highlight the best Mets vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Phillies have a 57% chance of beating the Mets.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Mets vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Mets vs. Phillies picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Mets vs. Phillies Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, October 6th, 2024
• Game Time: 4:08 p.m. ET
• Location: Citizens Bank Park
• Run Line: Mets +1.5 / Phillies -1.5
• Moneyline: Mets +122 / Phillies -144
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-106/-110)

Mets +1.5 @ -165 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Mets have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 38%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -165.

Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -106 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -106.
• Our analysis shows a 51% probability that the total will go over 8.5 runs.

Mets vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New York Mets at +122 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Philadelphia Phillies are available at -144 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 57% chance of prevailing.

Although the Phillies are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +122 odds on the Mets moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

New York Mets Prediction - Brandon Marsh To Get a Hit (-155)

• Our top prop bet for the Mets is on Brandon Marsh to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 69.1%, giving us an edge of 8.3% on the -155 odds offered by BetMGM.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Brandon Marsh To Get a Hit (-155)

• Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on Brandon Marsh to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 69.1%, giving us an edge of 8.3% on the -155 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Mets vs. Phillies Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Mets vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Kyle Schwarber to Hit a Home Run

Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 10 appearances (40% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +250 (29% implied probability), available at Bet365.

J.T. Realmuto to Record a Hit

J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his last 18 games (72%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -190 (66%), available at DraftKings.

Pete Alonso to Hit a Home Run

Pete Alonso has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 20 games (20%). You can wager on him to homer again at odds of +425 (19%), again available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Brandon Marsh of the Mets to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Mets +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Mets vs. Phillies predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.