Mets vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets 5th Oct 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies will meet the New York Mets in MLB action on Saturday at Citizens Bank Park, beginning at 4:08 p.m. ET.
We have performed 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to identify the best Mets vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Phillies have a 61% chance of beating the Mets.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continually source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Mets vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Mets vs. Phillies picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Mets vs. Phillies Game Information
- Game Date: Saturday, October 5th, 2024
- Game Time: 4:08 p.m. ET
- Location: Citizens Bank Park
- Run Line: Mets +1.5 / Phillies -1.5
- Moneyline: Mets +155 / Phillies -174
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (+110/-140)
Mets +1.5 @ -145 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Mets have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 41%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -145.
Total Runs Over 7.5 @ +110 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at +110.
- Our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood that the total will go over 7.5 runs, providing an edge of 4.9%.
Mets vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New York Mets at +155 via BetMGM, whilst the Philadelphia Phillies are available at -174 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 61% chance of prevailing.
Even though the Phillies are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +155 odds on the Mets moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
New York Mets Prediction - Johan Rojas To Get a Hit (-110)
- Our top prop bet for the Mets is on Johan Rojas to get a hit.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 64.8%, giving us an edge of 12.4% on the -110 odds offered by DraftKings.
Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Johan Rojas To Get a Hit (-110)
- Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on Johan Rojas to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 64.8%, giving us an edge of 12.4% on the -110 odds available at DraftKings.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Mets vs. Phillies Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Mets vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Brandon Marsh to Record a Hit
Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one hit in 16 of his last 25 games (64% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of -105 (51% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Austin Hays to Record a Hit
Austin Hays has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 23 games (65%). You can place a wager on him to get another one at odds of -120 (55%), also available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Johan Rojas of the Mets to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Mets +1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Mets vs. Phillies predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.