Mets vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets 15th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the New York Mets in MLB action on Sunday at Citizens Bank Park, beginning at 1:35 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to determine the best Mets vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Phillies have a 52% chance of beating the Mets.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Mets vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Mets vs. Phillies picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Mets vs. Phillies Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, September 15th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
• Location: Citizens Bank Park
• Run Line: Mets +1.5 / Phillies -1.5
• Moneyline: Mets +118 / Phillies -135
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-112/-102)

Mets +1.5 @ -178 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Mets have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 35%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -178 for the Mets +1.5, presenting a favorable 1.4% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 8 @ -112 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -112.
• Our analysis suggests a 56% likelihood of the 8-run total going over, providing an edge of 3.3%.

Mets vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New York Mets at +118 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Philadelphia Phillies are available at -135 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 52% chance of victory.

Even though the Phillies are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +118 odds on the Mets moneyline, providing an edge of 2%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

New York Mets Prediction - David Peterson Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-105)

• Our top prop bet for the Mets is on David Peterson to record under 2.5 earned runs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 61.5%, providing an edge of 10.3% on the -105 odds offered by DraftKings.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Johan Rojas To Get a Hit (-145)

• Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on Johan Rojas to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 70.8%, giving us an edge of 11.6% on the -145 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Mets vs. Phillies Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Mets vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Buddy Kennedy to Hit a Home Run

Buddy Kennedy has hit at least one home run in 1 of his last 10 games (10% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +1400 (7% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Johan Rojas of the Phillies to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Mets +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Mets vs. Phillies predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.