Mets vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets 13th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies will face the New York Mets in MLB action on Friday at Citizens Bank Park, beginning at 6:40 p.m. ET.

We performed 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to highlight the best Mets vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Phillies have a 54% chance of beating the Mets.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Mets vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Mets vs. Phillies picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Mets vs. Phillies Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, September 13th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Citizens Bank Park
• Run Line: Mets +1.5 / Phillies -1.5
• Moneyline: Mets +135 / Phillies -154
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-115/-105)

Mets +1.5 @ -155 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Mets have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 37%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -155 for the Mets +1.5, presenting a favorable 2.7% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 8 @ -115 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -115.
• Our analysis indicates a 59% probability of the 8-run total going over, providing an edge of 5.4%.

Mets vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New York Mets at +135 via BetMGM, whilst the Philadelphia Phillies are available at -154 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 54% chance of coming out on top.

Even though the Phillies are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +135 odds on the Mets moneyline, providing an edge of 3.6%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

New York Mets Prediction - Harrison Bader To Get a Hit (-130)

• Our top prop bet for the Mets is on Harrison Bader to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 65.2%, giving us an edge of 8.7% on the -130 odds offered by DraftKings.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Brandon Marsh To Get a Hit (-130)

• Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on Brandon Marsh to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 69.8%, providing an edge of 13.2% on the -130 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Mets vs. Phillies Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Mets vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Starling Marte to Record an RBI

Starling Marte has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 games (40% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +270 (27% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Buddy Kennedy to Hit a Home Run

Buddy Kennedy has hit at least one home run in 1 of his last 10 appearances (10%). You can place a bet on him to hit another one at odds of +1400 (7%), available at Bet365.

Harrison Bader to Record an RBI

Harrison Bader has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 17 appearances (29%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +290 (26%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Brandon Marsh of the Phillies to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Mets +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Mets vs. Phillies predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets today and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.