Mets vs. Padres Picks & Best Bets 25th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The San Diego Padres will go up against the New York Mets in MLB action on Sunday at PETCO Park, beginning at 4:10 p.m. ET.
We've run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to reveal the best Mets vs. Padres bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Padres have a 52% chance of defeating the Mets.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Mets vs. Padres Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Mets vs. Padres picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Mets vs. Padres Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, August 25th, 2024
- Game Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
- Location: PETCO Park
- Run Line: Mets -1.5 / Padres +1.5
- Moneyline: Mets +105 / Padres -120
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (+100/-130)
Mets -1.5 @ +168 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Mets have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 36%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at +168.
Total Runs Over 9 @ +100 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at +100.
- Our analysis indicates a slightly higher probability that the total will go over 9 runs, providing an edge of 0.2%.
Mets vs. Padres Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New York Mets at +105 via BetMGM, whilst the San Diego Padres are available at -120 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 52% chance of prevailing.
Although the Padres are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +105 odds on the Mets moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Mets vs. Padres
Here are the best MLB player props for Sunday's Mets vs. Padres game.
New York Mets Prediction - Pete Alonso To Get an RBI (+180)
- Our top prop bet for the Mets is on Pete Alonso to hit an RBI.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 41.2%, giving us an edge of 5.5% the +180 odds offered by BetMGM.
San Diego Padres Prediction - Luis Campusano To Get a Hit (-190)
- Our best prop bet for the Padres is on Luis Campusano to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 73.0%, providing an edge of 7.4% on the -190 odds available at DraftKings.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Mets vs. Padres Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Mets vs. Padres trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Luis Campusano to Hit a Home Run
Luis Campusano has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 20 appearances (20% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +850 (11% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Luis Campusano of the Padres to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Mets -1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Mets vs. Padres predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online MLB betting sites.