Mets vs. Padres Picks & Best Bets 23rd Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The San Diego Padres will face the New York Mets in MLB action on Friday at PETCO Park, beginning at 9:40 p.m. ET.

We have performed 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to identify the best Mets vs. Padres bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Padres have a 57% chance of beating the Mets.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Mets vs. Padres Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Mets vs. Padres picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Mets vs. Padres Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, August 23rd, 2024
• Game Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Location: PETCO Park
• Run Line: Mets +1.5 / Padres -1.5
• Moneyline: Mets +120 / Padres -134
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-115/-102)

Padres -1.5 @ +160 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Padres have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the Padres have a probability of 37%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at +160.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -115 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -115.
• Our analysis suggests a 57% chance of the 7.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 4%.

Mets vs. Padres Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New York Mets at +120 via BetMGM, whilst the San Diego Padres are available at -134 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 57% chance of coming out on top.

Additionally, the Padres present the best betting value, with the odds of -134 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Mets vs. Padres

Here are the best MLB player props for Friday's Mets vs. Padres matchup.

New York Mets Prediction - Paul Blackburn Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-110)

• Our top prop bet for the Mets is on Paul Blackburn to record under 5.5 hits allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 65.3%, giving us an edge of 12.9% the -110 odds offered by BetMGM.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Kyle Higashioka To Get a HR (+700)

• Our best prop bet for the Padres is on Kyle Higashioka to hit a home run.
• According to our analysis, there is a probability of 18.8% that he will go yard, giving us an edge of 6.3% on the +700 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Mets vs. Padres Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Mets vs. Padres trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

David Peralta to Hit a Home Run

David Peralta has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 17 appearances (24% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +850 (11% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Paul Blackburn of the Mets to record under 5.5 hits allowed, with an edge of 12.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Padres -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Mets vs. Padres predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.